ម៉ោង (GMT+0/UTC+0) | រដ្ឋ | សារៈសំខាន់ | ព្រឹត្តការណ៍ | ការទស្សទាយ | មុន |
00:30 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | CPI (YoY) (Q3) | 2.3% | 3.8% | |
00:30 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | CPI (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
00:30 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | កាត់ CPI មធ្យម (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
10:00 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | GDP (YoY) (Q3) | 0.8% | 0.6% | |
10:00 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | GDP (QoQ) (Q3) | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
12:15 | ពិន្ទុ 3 | ការផ្លាស់ប្តូរការងារមិនមែនកសិកម្មរបស់ ADP (តុលា) | 101K | 143K | |
12:30 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | តម្លៃ PCE ស្នូល (Q3) | --- | 2.80% | |
12:30 | ពិន្ទុ 3 | GDP (QoQ) (Q3) | 3.0% | 3.0% | |
12:30 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | សន្ទស្សន៍តម្លៃ GDP (QoQ) (Q3) | 2.0% | 2.5% | |
14:00 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | ការលក់ផ្ទះដែលកំពុងរង់ចាំ (MoM) (ខែកញ្ញា) | 0.9% | 0.6% | |
14:30 | ពិន្ទុ 3 | ស្តុកប្រេងឆៅ | --- | 5.474M | |
14:30 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | ស្តុកប្រេងឆៅ Cushing | --- | -0.346M | |
15:00 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | Schnabel របស់ ECB និយាយ | --- | --- | |
23:50 | ពិន្ទុ 2 | ផលិតកម្មឧស្សាហកម្ម (MoM) (ខែកញ្ញា) | 0.9% | -3.3% |
សេចក្តីសង្ខេបនៃព្រឹត្តិការណ៍សេដ្ឋកិច្ចដែលនឹងមកដល់នៅថ្ងៃទី 30 ខែតុលា ឆ្នាំ 2024
- Australia CPI (YoY) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
Tracks annual inflation. Forecast: 2.3%, Previous: 3.8%. Lower inflation would indicate easing price pressures, potentially impacting RBA rate decisions. - Australia CPI (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
Measures quarterly change in consumer prices. Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 1.0%. Slower inflation may reduce pressure on the RBA for further tightening. - Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ) (Q3) (00:30 UTC):
The RBA’s preferred measure of core inflation. Forecast: 0.7%, Previous: 0.8%. A lower reading suggests subdued inflation, supporting a dovish outlook. - GDP (YoY) (Q3) (10:00 UTC)៖
Year-over-year growth in Eurozone GDP. Forecast: 0.8%, Previous: 0.6%. Higher-than-expected growth would signal economic resilience, supporting the EUR. - GDP (QoQ) (Q3) (10:00 UTC)៖
Quarterly growth rate in the Eurozone economy. Forecast: 0.2%, Previous: 0.2%. Stable growth would indicate modest economic activity. - US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Oct) (12:15 UTC):
Private sector employment change. Forecast: 101K, Previous: 143K. Lower employment growth would suggest a cooling labor market, which could impact the Fed’s rate outlook. - តម្លៃ PCE ស្នូលរបស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក (Q3) (12:30 UTC)៖
Tracks changes in the core personal consumption expenditures index. Previous: 2.8%. Core PCE is a key inflation measure watched by the Fed. - GDP របស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC)៖
Measures quarterly growth in the US economy. Forecast: 3.0%, Previous: 3.0%. Strong GDP growth would support expectations for a resilient economy. - សន្ទស្សន៍តម្លៃ GDP របស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC)៖
Measures inflation within the GDP report. Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 2.5%. Lower inflation would reduce concerns of overheating in the economy. - US Pending Home Sales (MoM) (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
Measures month-over-month change in home sales. Forecast: 0.9%, Previous: 0.6%. An increase would signal housing market strength. - ស្តុកប្រេងឆៅរបស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក (14:30 UTC)៖
Tracks weekly changes in US crude stockpiles. Previous: 5.474M. A build in inventories signals weaker demand, while a drawdown suggests stronger demand. - ស្តុកប្រេងឆៅ Cushing (14:30 UTC)៖
Measures oil storage levels at Cushing, Oklahoma. Previous: -0.346M. Changes here can impact US crude prices. - Schnabel និយាយរបស់ ECB (15:00 UTC)៖
ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel may provide insights into the ECB’s views on inflation and monetary policy. - Japan Industrial Production (MoM) (Sep) (23:50 UTC):
Measures monthly change in industrial output. Forecast: 0.9%, Previous: -3.3%. Growth in production would indicate recovery in Japan’s manufacturing sector.
ការវិភាគផលប៉ះពាល់ទីផ្សារ
- Australia CPI Data (YoY, QoQ, Trimmed Mean):
Lower-than-expected inflation would support a dovish stance from the RBA, potentially weakening the AUD. Higher inflation figures would increase pressure on the RBA for tightening, supporting the AUD. - Eurozone GDP Data (YoY and QoQ):
Higher-than-expected GDP growth would support the EUR, signaling economic resilience. Weak growth may weigh on the EUR as it suggests slower economic momentum. - ការផ្លាស់ប្តូរការងារមិនមែនកសិកម្មរបស់ ADP របស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក៖
A slowdown in job creation could signal a weakening labor market, potentially softening the USD as it suggests lower Fed rate hike probabilities. Strong employment growth would support the USD. - US Core PCE Prices and GDP Data:
Higher core PCE and GDP growth would support the USD, reflecting both economic resilience and inflationary pressures. Lower inflation figures would reduce the likelihood of further Fed rate hikes, potentially weakening the USD. - ស្តុកប្រេងឆៅរបស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក៖
A larger-than-expected build in oil inventories would indicate weaker demand, potentially putting downward pressure on oil prices. A drawdown would suggest stronger demand, supporting prices. - ផលិតកម្មឧស្សាហកម្មជប៉ុន៖
Positive growth in industrial production would support the JPY by signaling recovery in Japan’s manufacturing sector, while weaker data could weigh on the currency.
ផលប៉ះពាល់ជារួម
ភាពប្រែប្រួល:
High, with focus on inflation data from Australia, GDP figures from the Eurozone and US, and US employment data. Energy markets will also be sensitive to inventory changes.
ពិន្ទុផលប៉ះពាល់៖ 8/10, due to key data releases that will shape central bank policy expectations and market sentiment on economic growth and inflation across major economies.