ការវិភាគ និងការព្យាករណ៍រូបិយប័ណ្ណគ្រីបតូព្រឹត្តិការណ៍សេដ្ឋកិច្ចដែលនឹងមកដល់នៅថ្ងៃទី 31 ខែតុលា ឆ្នាំ 2024

ព្រឹត្តិការណ៍សេដ្ឋកិច្ចដែលនឹងមកដល់នៅថ្ងៃទី 31 ខែតុលា ឆ្នាំ 2024

ម៉ោង (GMT+0/UTC+0)រដ្ឋសារៈសំខាន់ព្រឹត្តការណ៍ការទស្សទាយមុន
01:30🇦🇺។ពិន្ទុ 2ការលក់លក់រាយ (MoM) (ខែកញ្ញា)0.3%0.7%
01:30អ៊ីពិន្ទុ 2PMI សមាសធាតុចិន (តុលា)---50.4
01:30អ៊ីពិន្ទុ 3ការផលិត PMI (តុលា)50.049.8
01:30អ៊ីពិន្ទុ 2PMI មិនមែនផលិតកម្ម (តុលា)50.550.0
02:30🇯🇵។ពិន្ទុ 2សេចក្តីថ្លែងការណ៍គោលនយោបាយរូបិយវត្ថុ BoJ------
03:00🇯🇵។ពិន្ទុ 2របាយការណ៍ BoJ Outlook (YoY) ------
03:00🇯🇵។ពិន្ទុ 3ការសម្រេចចិត្តអត្រាការប្រាក់របស់ BoJ0.25%0.25%
06:30🇯🇵។ពិន្ទុ 2សន្និសីទសារព័ត៌មាន BoJ------
09:00🇪🇺ពិន្ទុ 2ECB Economic Bulletin------
10:00🇪🇺ពិន្ទុ 2CPI ស្នូល (YoY) (តុលា)2.6%2.7%
10:00🇪🇺ពិន្ទុ 2CPI (MoM) (តុលា)----0.1​%
10:00🇪🇺ពិន្ទុ 3CPI (YoY)(Oct)1.9%1.7%
10:00🇪🇺ពិន្ទុ 2អត្រាគ្មានការងារធ្វើ (ខែកញ្ញា)6.4%6.4%
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 2ការបន្តការទាមទារគ្មានការងារធ្វើ---1,897K
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 3សន្ទស្សន៍តម្លៃ PCE ស្នូល (YoY) (ខែកញ្ញា)---2.7%
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 3សន្ទស្សន៍តម្លៃ PCE ស្នូល (MoM) (ខែកញ្ញា)0.3%0.1%
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 2សន្ទស្សន៍ថ្លៃដើមការងារ (QoQ) (Q3)0.9%0.9%
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 3ការទាមទារសំណងគ្មានការងារបឋម231K227K
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 2សន្ទស្សន៍តម្លៃ PCE (YoY) (ខែកញ្ញា)---2.2%
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 2សន្ទស្សន៍តម្លៃ PCE (MoM) (ខែកញ្ញា)---0.1%
12:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 2ការចំណាយផ្ទាល់ខ្លួន (MoM) (ខែកញ្ញា)0.4%0.2%
13:45Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 3ទីក្រុងឈីកាហ្គោ PMI (តុលា)47.146.6
20:30Extraterrestrialពិន្ទុ 2តារាងតុល្យការរបស់ Fed---7,029B

សេចក្តីសង្ខេបនៃព្រឹត្តិការណ៍សេដ្ឋកិច្ចដែលនឹងមកដល់នៅថ្ងៃទី 31 ខែតុលា ឆ្នាំ 2024

  1. Australia Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep) (01:30 UTC):
    Measures monthly changes in retail sales, a key indicator of consumer spending. Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.7%. Lower sales would suggest weaker consumer demand, potentially weighing on the AUD.
  2. China Composite PMI (Oct) (01:30 UTC):
    Tracks overall business activity in China, combining manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors. Previous: 50.4. A reading above 50 indicates expansion.
  3. China Manufacturing PMI (Oct) (01:30 UTC):
    Tracks the health of China’s manufacturing sector. Forecast: 50.0, Previous: 49.8. A reading at or above 50 signals expansion.
  4. China Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct) (01:30 UTC):
    Measures activity in China’s services and construction sectors. Forecast: 50.5, Previous: 50.0. Above 50 indicates growth.
  5. សេចក្តីថ្លែងការណ៍គោលនយោបាយរូបិយវត្ថុ BoJ (02:30 UTC)៖
    Provides insights into the Bank of Japan’s stance on monetary policy, including any potential rate changes.
  6. BoJ Outlook Report (03:00 UTC):
    The BoJ’s quarterly economic outlook, which includes inflation and growth projections. It’s closely watched for insights into the BoJ’s future policy direction.
  7. ការសម្រេចចិត្តអត្រាការប្រាក់ BoJ (03:00 UTC)៖
    Expected rate: 0.25%. No change is anticipated, but any deviation would impact the JPY.
  8. ព្រឹត្តិបត្រសេដ្ឋកិច្ច ECB (09:00 UTC)៖
    Provides insights into economic developments in the Eurozone, guiding expectations for future ECB actions.
  9. Eurozone Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) (10:00 UTC):
    Excludes food and energy prices. Forecast: 2.6%, Previous: 2.7%. Lower inflation may ease pressure on the ECB for further tightening.
  10. Eurozone CPI (YoY) (Oct) (10:00 UTC):
    Tracks overall consumer inflation. Forecast: 1.9%, Previous: 1.7%. Higher CPI would indicate persistent inflation.
  11. Eurozone Unemployment Rate (Sep) (10:00 UTC):
    Measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. Forecast: 6.4%, Previous: 6.4%.
  12. US Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Key inflation measure used by the Fed. Previous: 2.7%. Higher readings would signal inflationary pressures.
  13. US Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q3) (12:30 UTC):
    Measures labor cost changes. Forecast: 0.9%, Previous: 0.9%. Rising costs could pressure inflation.
  14. ការទាមទារគ្មានការងារធ្វើដំបូងរបស់សហរដ្ឋអាមេរិក (12:30 UTC)៖
    Tracks weekly filings for unemployment benefits. Forecast: 231K, Previous: 227K. Rising claims may signal labor market softening.
  15. US Personal Spending (MoM) (Sep) (12:30 UTC):
    Forecast: 0.4%, Previous: 0.2%. An increase would indicate strong consumer spending, supporting the USD.
  16. Chicago PMI (Oct) (13:45 UTC):
    An indicator of business activity in the Chicago region. Forecast: 47.1, Previous: 46.6. Below 50 signals contraction.
  17. តារាងតុល្យការរបស់ Fed (20:30 UTC)៖
    ការធ្វើបច្ចុប្បន្នភាពប្រចាំសប្តាហ៍លើទ្រព្យសកម្ម និងបំណុលរបស់ Federal Reserve ។ មុន: $7,029B ។

ការវិភាគផលប៉ះពាល់ទីផ្សារ

  • ការលក់លក់រាយអូស្ត្រាលី៖
    Weaker retail sales would suggest a slowdown in consumer spending, likely softening the AUD. Stronger-than-expected growth would support the currency.
  • China PMI Data:
    Readings above 50 for both manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs would indicate growth, which would support commodities and risk-sensitive currencies. Weak PMIs may dampen global sentiment.
  • BoJ Monetary Policy and Outlook Report:
    Any unexpected shift toward tightening would strengthen the JPY, while a continued dovish stance would weigh on it.
  • Eurozone CPI and Core CPI (YoY):
    Higher-than-expected inflation figures would support the EUR by increasing the likelihood of further ECB tightening, while lower figures may soften the currency.
  • US Core PCE Price Index & Employment Cost Index:
    Higher readings for core PCE or employment costs would indicate persistent inflation, supporting the USD and potentially leading to more Fed tightening.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims & Personal Spending:
    Lower jobless claims indicate labor market resilience, supporting the USD. Increased personal spending would also support the USD by signaling strong consumer demand.
  • Chicago PMI:
    A reading below 50 would indicate economic contraction, potentially weighing on the USD.

ផលប៉ះពាល់ជារួម

ភាពប្រែប្រួល:
High, driven by key inflation and employment data from the US, along with central bank reports and CPI data from the Eurozone and Japan. These events will impact expectations for global growth and monetary policy.

ពិន្ទុផលប៉ះពាល់៖ 8/10, due to critical economic indicators from multiple major economies that will shape expectations for inflation and central bank policy adjustments.

ចូលរួម​ជាមួយ​យើង

13,690ក្រុមអ្នកគាំទ្រដូច
1,625ដើរតាមអនុវត្តតាម
5,652ដើរតាមអនុវត្តតាម
2,178ដើរតាមអនុវត្តតាម
- ការផ្សព្វផ្សាយ -